2020.06.02 18:43Nation

GDP上方修正へ 1~3月期改定値―民間予測

 民間シンクタンク10社の2020年1~3月期の国内総生産(GDP)改定値の予測が2日、出そろった。平均は物価変動の影響を除いた実質ベースの年率換算で前期比2.2%減。速報値(3.4%減)からは上方修正となる。設備投資について全社がプラス転換を見込んだ。改定値は8日公表。
 1日発表の1~3月期の法人企業統計では、全産業(ソフトウエア投資額を除く)の設備投資が前年同期比3.5%増だった。都市開発関連向けなどが底堅かったためで、これを踏まえ各社とも予測を改めた。(2020/06/02-18:43)

2020.06.02 18:43Nation

Japan January-March GDP Estimate Likely to Be Revised Up


The Japanese government is expected to revise up its gross domestic product estimate for January-March, the latest projections by 10 private think tanks suggest.
   Their projections averaged an annualized quarter-to-quarter drop of 2.2 pct in price-adjusted real terms, better than a 3.4 pct contraction in the preliminary GDP report for the first quarter of 2020 released by the Cabinet Office last month.
   The government agency is scheduled to show revised GDP data on Monday.
   All the think tanks came up with the stronger GDP estimates after the Finance Ministry announced Monday that capital investment excluding in software in the quarter increased 3.5 pct from a year earlier on an all-industry basis thanks to solid spending related to urban redevelopment.
   But ordinary profits at nonfinancial firms plunged 32.0 pct, the biggest drop since July-September 2009, when the profits tumbled 32.4 pct in the fallout from the collapse of U.S. investment bank Lehman Brothers in 2008, the ministry also reported.

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