財政黒字化、２年前倒し　２７年度、目標には遅れ―内閣府試算

　内閣府は２１日、政府の経済財政諮問会議（議長・菅義偉首相）に中長期の経済財政試算を提出した。財政健全化の目安となる国と地方を合わせた基礎的財政収支（ＰＢ）黒字化の実現時期は、名目３％超の高い経済成長が続く「成長実現ケース」で２０２７年度と試算。税収の上振れで前回試算（今年１月）の２９年度から２年前倒ししたが、政府目標の２５年度黒字化には２年遅れる。
　ＰＢは政策経費を借金に頼らず、税収でどれだけ賄えているかを示す指標。新型コロナウイルス対策で２０年度の赤字額は大きく膨らんだが、国税収入が見込みより約５兆７０００億円上振れした。このため、赤字額は前回試算の６９兆４０００億円から５６兆４０００億円に縮小。新型コロナが、今後の税収に与える影響は従来見通しより限定的になるとの判断を反映させた。２７年度の黒字額は１兆８０００億円。（2021/07/21-18:17）

The Cabinet Office presented an estimate on Wednesday that Japan will be able to balance its budget in fiscal 2027, two years earlier than the previous projection, under a scenario assuming more than 3 pct nominal economic growth.
   Still, the government will fall short of its goal of bringing the primary budget balance for the central and local governments to a surplus in fiscal 2025, according to the new projection.
   The Cabinet Office submitted the projection to a meeting of the government's Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy, chaired by Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga.
   A primary budget surplus means that the government can finance its spending on policy measures, except for debt-serving costs, without issuing new debt.
   In fiscal 2020, Japan's budget deficit increased sharply due to a range of measures to address the novel coronavirus epidemic, but national tax revenue was about 5.7 trillion yen higher than previously estimated.