ＧＤＰ、１２％成長維持　設備投資は下方修正の公算―昨年１０～１２月期

　民間シンクタンク１１社による２０２０年１０～１２月期実質ＧＤＰ（国内総生産）改定値の予測が２日、出そろった。平均値は前期比年率１２．５％増と、速報値段階（１２．７％増）の水準をほぼ維持する。財務省が同日発表した１０～１２月期法人企業統計調査の結果を受け、設備投資は下方修正される見通し。一方、公共投資は上方修正される見込みだ。ＧＤＰ改定値は９日に内閣府が公表する。（2021/03/02-20:37）

The revised growth rate for Japan's price-adjusted real gross domestic product in October-December 2020 will be 12.5 pct on an annualized basis, according to the average estimate by 11 private-sector think tanks.
   The annualized quarter-on-quarter figure is almost the same as a rise of 12.7 pct shown by the government's preliminary report, as capital spending is expected to be lower than initially estimated as suggested by just-released Ministry of Finance data while public investment is projected to be higher.
   The MOF data showed that capital spending by Japanese firms fell 4.8 pct year on year in October-December to extend the losing streak to a third quarter, with manufacturers, notably food and machine producers, slashing spending by 8.5 pct and nonmanufacturers, such as transport and goods leasing firms, by 2.6 pct.
   Specifically, the think tanks on average project a 3.7 pct rise in fixed business investment from July-September, against the preliminary growth estimate of 4.5 pct.
   There is no change in their estimates that capital investment took the first upturn in three quarters. But the research institutions came up with the weaker revised figure because "companies remain reluctant to boost investment in plant and equipment in view of slow sales recovery amid the prolonged coronavirus pandemic," an official at the Daiwa Institute of Research said.