都市封鎖中にがん診断数が半減、診断の遅れを警告 米調査
この調査では、乳がん、大腸がん、肺がん、膵臓(すいぞう)がん、胃がん、食道がんの6種を対象とし、2019年1月~2020年2月における6種の1週間あたりの平均診断数を基準値に設定した。
調査の結果、新型コロナウイルスの大流行の間に「1週間あたりのがん6種の合計診断数は46.4%(新規がん患者数は4310人から2310人に)減少し、6種すべてにおいて(診断数が)著しく減少した」ことが分かった。
乳がんでその傾向は著しく、診断数は51.8%減少した。
米診断情報サービス企業のクエスト・ダイアグノスティクスの執筆者らは、「住民がソーシャル・ディスタンシング(対人距離の確保)を守っても、がんの進行は止まらない」とした上で、「診断の遅れは、より進行した状態での発見や、より好ましくない臨床転帰を招いてしまう」と指摘した。
また調査報告書は査読前の別の論文の推定を引用して、米国では診断の遅れによって約3万4000人ががんで超過死亡する恐れがあると警告した。
オランダでは、がんと診断される人の数が1週間あたり最大40%減少していて、英国でも新型コロナウイルス関連の移動制限が施行されて以降、がんが疑われる患者の紹介数が75%減少した。【翻訳編集AFPBBNews】
〔AFP=時事〕(2020/08/06-13:23)
Cancer diagnoses rates fell by half during US lockdown
The number of cancers diagnosed weekly in the United States fell by almost fifty percent during March and April compared to the recent average, a study said Tuesday, the latest to examine the impacts of COVID-19 lockdowns.
Emergency room visits additionally appear to have dropped for heart attacks, strokes and even appendicitis -- trends that are being confirmed through ongoing studies.
Child vaccinations have also stalled globally, according to the UN, and world health bodies are alarmed by the impact on the fight against HIV, malaria and tuberculosis as screening campaigns, logistics and access to health care have been disrupted.
The new analysis, published in JAMA Network Open, established a baseline period from January 2019 to February 2020 to determine the average weekly number of cancers diagnosed by six types: breast, colorectal, lung, pancreatic, gastric and esophageal.
During the pandemic, the weekly number fell 46.4% (from 4,310 to 2,310) for the 6 cancers combined, with significant declines in all cancer types, the authors found.
The drop was particularly stark for breast cancer, with diagnoses rates falling 51.8 percent.
While residents have taken to social distancing, cancer does not pause, wrote the authors, from Quest Diagnostics, a laboratory company.
The delay in diagnosis will likely lead to presentation at more advanced stages and poorer clinical outcomes.
They also cited a new estimate from another study, which has not yet been peer reviewed, that estimates that the delays will cause some 34,000 excess cancer deaths in the United States.
The Netherlands has seen as much as a 40 percent decline in weekly cancer incidence, and the United Kingdom has experienced a 75 percent decline in referrals for suspected cancer since restrictions were put in place.
More recently, we are seeing some signs that screening rates are recovering some, added Laura Makaroff of the American Cancer Society, who was not involved in the study.
The local impact of COVID is still highly variable across the country so it is important to talk with your health care provider about which screening tests are right for you and how to re-engage in screening in a safe way.
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