2024.11.13 16:50Nation

7~9月期GDP、年0.6%増 台風響き小幅成長―民間予想

 民間シンクタンク10社による7~9月期実質GDP(国内総生産)速報値の予測が13日までに出そろった。10社の平均は前期比0.2%増で、この成長ペースが1年続いた場合の年率換算では0.6%増。2四半期連続のプラス見込みとなったが、「総じて力強さに欠ける」(みずほ証券の小林俊介チーフエコノミスト)との指摘が出るなど成長速度は鈍い。
 内訳は、個人消費が0.3%増。賞与の増加や夏物商品の好調といったプラス材料もあったが、台風10号による店舗の休業などで減殺された格好だ。設備投資は0.3%減と2四半期ぶりのマイナス見込みで、台風による工場の稼働休止で自動車関連への投資などが減少した可能性がある。(2024/11/13-16:50)

2024.11.13 16:50Nation

Think Tanks Estimate 0.2 Pct Rise in Japan's July-Sept. GDP


Japan's real gross domestic product in the July-September quarter is believed to have increased 0.2 pct from the previous quarter, for an annualized increase of 0.6 pct, according to estimates released by 10 private think tanks by Wednesday.
   GDP is expected to expand for the second consecutive quarter, but the pace of growth is likely to be slow. "Growth overall lacks strength," said Shunsuke Kobayashi, a senior economist at Mizuho Securities Co.
   The Cabinet Office is scheduled to release preliminary GDP data for the quarter on Friday.
   By category, private consumption is estimated to have increased 0.3 pct, with the impact of higher bonuses and strong sales of summer products largely offset by store closures due to a typhoon and other factors.
   Meanwhile, corporate capital spending is estimated to have contracted 0.3 pct, the first decline in two quarters, as auto-related investment may have shrunk due to typhoon-related factory shutdowns.

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