米中合意でリスク大幅減　日本は１．５％成長へ―著名エコノミスト

　米著名エコノミストのアレン・サイナイ氏は１４日、時事通信のインタビューに応じ、米中貿易協議「第１段階」の合意などにより世界経済のリスクが大幅に減じたと述べ、日本の成長率は２０２０年に１．５％超になるとの見通しを示した。
　サイナイ氏は、１５日に予定されている「第１段階」合意の署名や、米財務省が１３日に中国を「為替操作国」の認定から外したことについて、「正しい方向への一歩」と評価。米中両大国の対立や覇権争いはハイテク分野などで「永久に」続くが、追加関税を発動し合った１９年ほどには激化しないと予想した。（2020/01/14-17:21）

Risks to the global economy have been reduced significantly, mainly by the "phase one" trade deal between the United States and China, U.S. economist Allen Sinai said Tuesday.
   In an interview with Jiji Press, Sinai offered the view that Japan will achieve economic growth of 1.5 pct to 2 pct in 2020 thanks to the expected firmness of the Chinese economy.
   It is really a step in the "right direction," Sinai said, referring to the U.S.-China deal, to be signed Wednesday, and the U.S. removal of China from its list of currency manipulators Monday.
   While saying that conflict between the world's two biggest economies will continue "forever," mainly in the high-tech field, Sinai forecast that their trade battle is unlikely to be as fierce as in 2019, when they imposed additional tariffs on each other's goods.
   He projected that China's economic growth will top 6 pct in 2020 as companies are expected to resume investments thanks to falling business risks.