中国の台湾侵攻、米国は今備えを　海軍大将

【ワシントンＡＦＰ＝時事】米海軍作戦部長であるマイケル・ギルディ海軍大将は１９日、中国の台湾侵攻が今年中にも起こる可能性は排除できないとして、米軍は態勢を整えねばならないと訴えた。（写真はギルディ海軍大将）
　台湾をめぐっては、これまで考えられていたよりも中国の習近平国家主席が早期の統一を目指している可能性を指摘する声が相次いでいる。
　台湾国家安全局トップは２０日、いかなる台湾侵攻の試みも失敗に終わり、中国は世界から爪はじきにされるだろうと警告した。
　習氏は１６日の中国共産党党大会の冒頭、１０年にわたる任期中の成果を自賛。台湾「統一」には武力行使も辞さないと誓った。
　ギルディ氏はシンクタンクとの会合で、習氏の発言と、２０２７年までに中国政府は台湾侵攻の準備が整うとした米海軍大将の発言について意見を求められた。
　同氏は「過去２０年間で分かったのは、（中国人は）約束したことは全て予告した時期よりも早く実行するということだ」と述べた上で、「つまり、２０２７年ごろだと思うならば、２０２２年の可能性もあるし、２０２３年の可能性もある」との考えを示した。【翻訳編集ＡＦＰＢＢＮｅｗｓ】
〔ＡＦＰ＝時事〕（2022/10/21-11:32）

The US military must be ready to respond to a potential invasion of Taiwan as soon as this year, a senior admiral said Wednesday, signaling heightened alarm over Beijing's intentions towards the island.
Admiral Michael Gilday, chief of US naval operations, is the latest senior official in Washington to raise concerns that China's President Xi Jinping may be much more willing than previously thought to seize Taiwan.
His comments came as Taiwan's top security official warned any attempt to invade the island would fail and turn China into an international pariah.
Xi is on the cusp of securing a third five-year term at the helm of the world's most populous nation, delivering a landmark Communist Party Congress speech on Sunday where he restated his vow to one day reunify, or forcefully take, Taiwan.
In a discussion with a think-tank, Gilday was asked about Xi's speech and whether he agreed with comments by another US admiral that Beijing would be ready to take Taiwan by 2027.
It's not just what President Xi says, it's how the Chinese behave and what they do, Gilday told the Atlantic Council.
And what we've seen over the past 20 years is that they have delivered on every promise they've made earlier than they said they were going to deliver on it.
So when we talk about the 2027 window in my mind, that has to be a 2022 window or potentially a 2023 window, he added.
I can't rule that out. I don't mean at all to be alarmist by saying that. It's just that we can't wish that away.
- 'No chance' -
China's Communist Party has never controlled Taiwan but it claims the self-ruled island as its own.
Taiwan is not a treaty ally of the United States, but Congress is bound by law to sell Taipei defensive weapons and there is bipartisan support for protecting what has become a progressive democracy and vital global trade partner.
Beijing's stance has long been that it seeks peaceful reunification with Taiwan but reserves the right to use force if necessary, especially if the island formally declares independence.
The rhetoric and actions towards Taiwan have become more pronounced under Xi, China's most assertive leader in a generation, and the military has ramped up equipment purchases aimed at pulling off an invasion.
Xi has tied taking Taiwan to his vision of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and said the goal of reunification cannot continue to be passed indefinitely from generation to generation.
Russia's recent invasion of Ukraine, which China has not condemned, has also raised fears that Beijing might take similar moves against Taiwan's 23 million people.
Military analysts have long warned that even with strength in numbers invading Taiwan is a difficult task, given its location and terrain.
Taiwan's national security chief Chen Ming-tong echoed that sentiment and delivered his own warning to Xi.
I want to solemnly tell the Beijing authorities that there is no chance of winning to attack Taiwan by force, he told reporters on Thursday in Taipei.
It would lead to international economic sanctions and diplomatic isolation, ruining his (Xi's) 'great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation' and making him a sinner of the Chinese nation.
On Monday, US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken warned that Beijing wants to seize Taiwan on a much faster timeline than previously considered, adding that a very different China had emerged under Xi.
Blinken also warned any war over Taiwan would have an enormous impact on global trade.