財政再建目標堅持　基礎的収支黒字化、２６年度に前倒し―諮問会議

　内閣府は１４日、政府の経済財政諮問会議（議長・岸田文雄首相）に中長期の経済財政試算を提出した。財政健全化の目安となる国と地方を合わせた基礎的財政収支（ＰＢ）黒字化の実現時期は、名目３％超の高い経済成長が続く「成長実現ケース」で２０２６年度と試算。企業業績の回復による税収の上振れで、前回試算（昨年７月）の２７年度から１年前倒しされた。
　政府が掲げるＰＢ黒字化目標の達成時期である２５年度には、１兆７０００億円の赤字が残る。ただ、社会保障費の抑制など歳出改革の継続によるＰＢ改善効果（年１兆３０００億円程度）を織り込めば、２５年度に２兆２０００億円の黒字に改善すると見込む。
　今回の試算を受け、政府は２５年度の黒字化目標を堅持する方針を決定。会議で首相は「力強い成長を実現し、骨太の方針に基づく取り組みを継続した場合には、目標年度の変更が求められる状況にはないことが確認された」と表明した。（2022/01/14-12:46）

Japan's central and local governments are expected to achieve a combined primary budget surplus in fiscal 2026, one year earlier than projected in July 2021, thanks to higher tax revenue backed by a recovery of corporate earnings, the Cabinet Office said Friday.
   The new estimate, submitted to the day's meeting of the government's Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy, chaired by Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, is based on the scenario that the country will continue to post high nominal economic growth of over 3 pct.
   A primary budget surplus means that spending other than debt-servicing costs is covered without relying on new debt issuance.
   In fiscal 2025, the target year set by the national government for turning around the primary budget balance, Japan will see the balance result in a deficit of some 1.7 trillion yen, according to the new projection.
   If continued spending reforms, such as curbing social security costs, which are expected to improve the primary balance by about 1.3 trillion yen a year, are taken into account, the balance will end in a surplus of 2.2 trillion yen in fiscal 2025, according to the Cabinet Office.