来年度、実質１．２％成長　消費底堅く―政府経済見通し

　政府は２５日の持ち回り閣議で、２０２５年度の実質ＧＤＰ（国内総生産）成長率を前年度比１．２％とする経済見通しを了解した。物価上昇の落ち着きや総合経済対策の効果で個人消費が底堅く推移するとともに、海外経済が緩やかに回復して輸出も回復するとのシナリオを維持。１１月に公表した前回試算から据え置いた。
　ＧＤＰの半分を占める個人消費は１．３％増と０．１ポイント上方修正した。内閣府は所得税の「年収１０３万円の壁」見直しによる消費の押し上げ効果はわずかだとみている。
　名目ＧＤＰは２．７％増、消費者物価上昇率は２．０％を見込んだ。（2024/12/25-19:19）

The Japanese government said Wednesday that the country's economy is expected to grow 1.2 pct in fiscal 2025, which starts next April, in price-adjusted real terms, unchanged from its previous November forecast.
   The government maintained its view that personal consumption will be solid thanks to stable inflation and the effects of its economic package and that exports will recover because of a moderate pickup in overseas economies.
   The government expects personal consumption, which accounts for half of the country's gross domestic product, to grow 1.3 pct, an increase of 0.1 percentage point from the previous estimate. It anticipates 2.0 pct inflation.
   For fiscal 2024, the government lowered its economic growth outlook to 0.4 pct from 0.7 pct.
   The reduction reflects slower-than-expected growth in exports amid lower vehicle production and China's slowing growth as well as weaker personal consumption and capital spending.