短観予測、製造業景況感横ばい　新たな車認証不正が重し―民間１６社

　日銀が来月１日に発表する６月の全国企業短期経済観測調査（短観）に関する民間シンクタンクなど１６社による予測が２５日までに、出そろった。企業の景況感を示す業況判断指数（ＤＩ）は大企業製造業でおおむね横ばいを見込む。円安に伴う増益期待がある一方、海外景気の弱さや今月に入って自動車メーカーの新たな認証不正が発覚したことが重しとなり、足踏み傾向が続く見通しだ。
　ＤＩは業況が「良い」と答えた企業の割合から「悪い」の割合を引いて算出する。（2024/06/25-17:10）

The Bank of Japan's "tankan" quarterly survey for June, due out Monday, will show little change in major Japanese manufacturers' business sentiment, according to forecasts by think tanks.
   Income growth expectations on the back of the yen's weakening were dampened by soured economic activities abroad and the fallout from newly detected type approval test fraud at domestic automakers, the 16 research institutes suggested.
   According to their average estimate, the headline diffusion index for large manufacturers' current business conditions will stand at plus 11, unchanged from the March tankan reading.
   Big makers took heart from a semiconductor market recovery and the waning impact of production and shipment suspensions owing to test data falsification at Daihatsu Motor Co. and Toyota Industries Corp. But following similar scandals, particularly at Toyota Motor Corp., weighed on their sentiment, many think tanks pointed out.
   The average projection for the DI for leading nonmanufacturers came to plus 34, also flat.