2020.01.24 19:55Nation

国の借金、29年度末1064兆円 歳出削減急務―財務省試算

 財務省は24日、2020年度予算案を踏まえ、国の財政状況の試算を国会に提出した。国の借金である国債の発行残高(20年度末見通し900兆円)は、今後名目で毎年3%の高成長が続く前提でも、膨張を続ける社会保障費などの歳出削減を行わない場合、26年度末に1012兆円と1000兆円を突破。29年度末には1064兆円まで拡大すると見込んだ。
 「団塊の世代」(1947~49年生まれ)が75歳以上の後期高齢者に差し掛かる22年度以降、年金、医療、介護をはじめ社会保障費が急増。税収が伸びる一方で、歳出増に追い付けず、20年度まで10年連続で減少する見通しの新規国債発行額は22年度に増加に転じる。国債利払い費の拡大も発行残高を押し上げる形で、社会保障分野を柱に歳出削減努力が急務となる。(2020/01/24-19:55)

2020.01.24 19:55Nation

JGB Balance Seen Topping 1,000 T. Yen in FY 2026


The balance of Japanese government bonds is expected to top 1,000 trillion yen at the end of fiscal 2026 unless measures to control swelling social security costs are taken even if Japan's economy grows 3 pct annually in nominal terms, the Ministry of Finance has said.
   Under the scenario, the JGB balance will total 1,012 trillion yen at the March 31, 2027, end of fiscal 2026 and reach 1,064 trillion yen at the end of fiscal 2029, according to the ministry's projections, which were submitted to the Diet, Japan's parliament, on Friday.
   The balance is estimated to come to 900 trillion at the end of fiscal 2020, according to the government's draft budget for the year, which was submitted to the Diet recently.
   The country's social security expenditures, including pensions, medical expenses and nursing care outlays, will increase rapidly from fiscal 2022, when postwar baby boomers, or those born in 1947-1949, will start turning 75 years old.
   With the growth of spending seen outpacing that of tax revenue, the issue amount of new JGBs will begin increasing in fiscal 2022, the MOF said. The new JGB amount is currently expected to decrease for the 10th consecutive year through fiscal 2020.

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