実質ＧＤＰ成長率、年５％超　昨年１０～１２月期の民間予測

　内閣府が１５日公表する２０２１年１０～１２月期の実質ＧＤＰ（国内総生産）速報値について、主な民間シンクタンク１１社の予測が１日、出そろった。予測値の平均は前期比１．４％増（年率換算５．６％増）で、２四半期ぶりのプラス成長となる。新型コロナウイルス感染の拡大が落ち着いていたことで、個人消費の回復が寄与する見込みだ。
　ただ、足元で進む変異株「オミクロン株」のまん延で、２２年１～３月期の成長率は再び下振れするとの見方が強い。（2022/02/01-17:49）

Japan's real gross domestic product in October-December last year is estimated to have grown 1.4 pct from the previous quarter on average, for an annualized rise of 5.6 pct, according to forecasts by 11 private-sector think tanks.
    Amid a decline in the number of new coronavirus cases in the final quarter of 2021, personal spending is estimated to have grown 2.2 pct after sinking in the previous quarter.
    With the fourth coronavirus state of emergency fully lifted at the end of September, spending in the service sector, such as in the restaurant, hotel and entertainment industries, is believed to have recovered sharply from the severe slump in summer, the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute said.
   New auto sales also picked up, thanks to an upturn in vehicle output following a steep drop amid semiconductor shortages and supply chain bottlenecks caused by the coronavirus surge.
   Exports are projected to have risen 0.4 pct, chiefly pushed up by growth in vehicle demand from abroad. Corporate capital spending's increase was put at 0.6 pct.