４～６月期のＧＤＰ予測、年０．８％増　コロナ禍から回復ずれ込み

　内閣府が１６日公表する２０２１年４～６月期の実質ＧＤＰ（国内総生産）速報値について、民間シンクタンク１２社の予測が２日、出そろった。平均値は前期比０．２％増、年率換算で０．８％増と、１～３月期（年率３．９％減）から２四半期ぶりのプラス成長となる見込み。ただ、新型コロナウイルス感染拡大に伴う緊急事態宣言下で個人消費の低迷が続き、低い伸びにとどまりそうだ。
　７～９月期も低成長となり、コロナ禍からの回復はずれ込むとの見方が強まっている。（2021/08/02-19:17）

Japan's real gross domestic product in April-June is believed to have grown 0.2 pct from the previous quarter, or at an annual rate of 0.8 pct, according to 12 private think tanks' latest estimates.
   Despite a turnaround from the previous quarter's GDP decline of annualized 3.8 pct in price-adjusted real terms, the estimated growth rate is low reflecting sluggish personal consumption under the third coronavirus state of emergency.
   Specifically, personal consumption, a main engine for economic growth, is estimated to have dropped for the second consecutive quarter, by 0.1 pct on average.
   Spending on services shrank in particular, after the state of emergency eventually covered 10 of the country' 47 prefectures, according to the Dai-ichi Life Research Institute.
   Meanwhile, capital expenditures are estimated to have turned up 1.9 pct.