来年の世界成長率を下方修正 コロナ再拡大で―OECD
【パリ時事】経済協力開発機構(OECD)は1日、世界の経済成長率見通しを発表し、2021年をプラス4.2%と、9月時点の前回予想(プラス5.0%)から下方修正した。欧州と北米での新型コロナウイルス感染再拡大が主な要因。20年はマイナス4.2%と、前回予想(マイナス4.5%)から上方修正した。
首席エコノミストのローレンス・ボーン氏は「新型コロナワクチン開発の進展により不透明感は後退した」と指摘。見通しは、ワクチンの世界的な普及を21年末とする前提で算出された。(2020/12/01-20:58)
OECD Cuts 2021 Global Growth Estimate amid Virus Resurgence
The OECD on Tuesday put world economic growth for 2021 at 4.2 pct in real terms, weaker than the 5.0 pct expansion estimated in September, mainly due to the resurgence of the novel coronavirus in Europe and North America.
In its Economic Outlook report, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said that the world's gross domestic product will shrink 4.2 pct this year, better than its September forecast of a 4.5 pct decline.
The estimate for next year is based on the assumption that vaccines for the coronavirus will become available across the globe by late 2021. For 2022, the OECD estimates real GDP growth for the world at 3.7 pct.
"Managing the pandemic will still impose strains on the economy," OECD chief economist Laurence Boone said. Economic activities "will continue with fewer face-to-face interactions and partly closed borders for a few more quarters," she said.
But Boone said, "For the first time since the pandemic began, there is now hope for a brighter future," adding that progress in the development of vaccines and treatment "has lifted expectations" and that "uncertainty has receded" as a result.
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